I sure hope you don’t hate these updates posts, because they won’t be stopping for a while.
We’ve had the New York critic group, so it’s time to hit up the other major regional critic group. Don’t worry, we won’t be addressing every single group like this, but I will be keeping score separately. The LAFCA is just one of the better predictors.
So far with the three awards shows I’ve discussed, each one has chosen a different winner for Best Picture. The early tie has been broken, as LAFCA gave the top prize to Call Me By Your Name while announcing The Florida Project as runner-up. The Best Director race doesn’t get any easier however, as a tied vote gives the award to both Luca Guadagnino AND Guillermo Del Toro, of Call Me By Your Name and The Shape Of Water respectively. This is the first director win for each man of the season, and the first substantial win for Del Toro’s film we’ve seen yet.
The Shape Of Water didn’t stop there. Sally Hawkins took home the Best Actress prize, with Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) taking the runner-up spot over Saoirse Ronan and Meryl Streep. Best Actor went to Timothee Chalamet of Call Me By Your Name with The Disaster Artist‘s James Franco in second. The so-far unanimous Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe yet again won his category for The Florida Project, while frontrunner Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) took home Supporting Actress. The runners-up in both categories were Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) and Mary J. Blige (Mudbound).
Jordan Peele won another screenplay award for Get Out, but Coco received it’s first loss of the season to The Breadwinner. Agnes Varda’s Faces Places won Best Documentary, France and Russia tied for Best Foreign Language Film (BPM and Loveless), and Johnny Greenwood’s score for Phantom Thread won as well. The Cinematography award went to The Shape Of Water (a sad loss to Roger Deakins fans everywhere), and Dunkirk and Blade Runner 2049 picked up Film Editing and Production Design respectively.
The full list of LAFCA awards can be found here.
We’re starting to seem leaders mark their places as each event passes. The race is incredibly early, but the likes of Chalamet, Ronan, Dafoe, and Metcalf do appear to be the early frontrunners in the acting categories. The director race appears to be wide open still, but the screenplay split seems to favor Jordan Peele and Paul Thomas Anderson.
It’s still very early, and far too early to consider any of these races a done deal. I’d be willing to put money on possibly even an early frontrunner missing the nomination entirely. The Academy doesn’t know everything. Only I do, obviously.